Currently viewing the tag: "2012 Elections"

Tactical Voting Guide

On October 17, 2012 By

One thing I heard in the Plunderbund debate chat last night were a few people who have already voted for (or decided to vote for) Jill Stein instead of Barack Obama. This is a terrible decision. Allow me to explain why.

First, I should preface my comments by saying that I’m sympathetic to people who prefer Stein to Obama. In fact, when I go to ISideWith.com and take the quiz, the most recent time I have done so it suggested my preferred positions were more in line with Jill Stein’s positions. I still strongly aligned with Barack Obama, but Stein […]

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Today, the Global Commission on Elections, Democracy and Security released a report titled “Deepening Democracy: A Strategy for Improving the Integrity of Elections Worldwide”. The report is not particularly glowing with regards to the status of American democracy, specifically pointing out recent efforts to suppress African American voting (page 30) and problems with political finance (page 34) – two of the five stated challenges to the integrity of elections.

You can read the report here.

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Another day, another bad poll result for Mitt Romney.

Today’s edition is the new NBC-Marist poll. The group surveyed 979 likely Ohio voters by phone from September 9-11. A poll of likely voters is typically more predictive and reliable than those merely targeting registered voters, many of whom do not turn out in November.

The results are devastating for Romney. Obama leads among likely voters 50-43.

But, more importantly, the results show that voters don’t have the same warm and fuzzy feelings for the Republican candidate. Only 40 percent of voters have a favorable […]

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Mitt Romney has jumped with both feet into a foreign policy fight with Barack Obama. A fight waged with false attacks, by the way, but hey, he’s not going to let his campaign be dictated by fact-checkers.

The most recent FoxNews poll shows that not only does Obama beat Romney, handily, on the question of who voters trust to handle foreign policy, Obama is leading by 22 points among independents on the question of foreign policy:

Voters don’t trust Mitt Romney on foreign policy, so why go there?

My theory is that this isn’t really about […]

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Let’s review.  There were several major campaign themes the Romney campaign was relying on using as a resume to put in front of the American people in his bid to become President of the United States.  The first was his business experience.  Romney was supposed to understand the economy and how to get out of the worst recession since the Great Depression.  The second was his experience as Governor of Massachusetts.  Another seemingly well-timed resume item given the London Olympics was his stint as President & CEO of the Organizing Committee for the 2002 Salt Lake City Olympic Games.

[…]

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Like most political junkies, we watch the ads.  Lots of them.  Most of the time they are what’s expected and not worth talking about outside of the normal back and forth of a campaign.  We certainly won’t be posting every single ad in the Presidential campaign and commenting on it.

Some ads, however, are worth calling attention to.  Sometimes we’ll call an ad out to say it is particularly effective and sometimes we’ll call it out to fact-check what we think is particularly misleading.

Obama for America just released a new ad this morning called “Firms”.

This one is going […]

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A new poll from Public Policy Polling was released today, and it shows the Presidential race in Ohio is tightening.

President Obama now leads  among Ohio voters by 3 points, defeating Mitt Romney 47-44. Obama’s approval numbers have dropped, but he’s not nearly as unpopular as his opponent. Obama’s negatives exceed his positives by 7 points. But a full 20 percent more Ohioans view Romney unfavorably than those who view him favorably, 54-34.

Women continue to be a key voting bloc, split on approval/disapproval of the President (47-47), but not rushing to Romney. 57 percent […]

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new Quinnipiac Poll released today shows Obama holding a 2 point lead in Ohio, but more importantly, maintaining his significant edge among women. Obama leads Romney among likely Ohio voters by 44-42. Among women, the President’s margin is 50-37.

The real concern for the Obama folks has to be the turnaround among Ohio’s independent voters–another key voting block. The President led by 4 points in both the February and March polls, but now trails Romney by 5.

Women’s opinions about both candidates are largely unchanged. 50% of women still view Obama favorably, compared to 53% […]

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Don’t be a slacktivist!

On April 22, 2012 By

Slaktivism (n):

a term formed out of the words slacker and activism. The word is usually considered a pejorative term that describes “feel-good” measures, in support of an issue or social cause, that have little or no practical effect other than to make the person doing it feel satisfaction.  (Thanks, Wikipedia)

Ohio government is now firmly controlled by Republicans. With that power, they’re doing exactly what everyone feared, which is writing incredibly bad legislation and passing it into law. Laws that we may not be able to wipe off the books for decades—perhaps ever.

You may be angry. You […]

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Women make up a majority—53 percent—of the national electorate, and are key to any Democrat’s path to the White House. In 2008, while Obama won the election by 7 points, his winning margin among women was 13. In Ohio, the picture was similar: women make up 52% of the electorate and went for Obama over McCain by 8 points.

Because of the importance of winning the women’s vote, we will be monitoring available polling in Ohio to see how this important demographic is feeling about the candidates. We posted earlier this month that the President […]

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As we sit back and enjoy the results of tonight’s Ohio GOP primary, we wanted to take a look at how the long primary process has affected Mitt Romney’s polling in Ohio and how it compares to President Obama. And we’re looking at two key demographic groups, women and independents, two voting blocks that will be essential for the ultimate winner. We looked at Quinnipiac polls dating back to January, 2011. All polls are available here.

First, how are the two candidates doing in a head to head match-up? Among women, Obama has been winning against Romney since […]

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