John Kasich is off on another overseas trip funded by his close friends at JobsOhio.
Back here in Ohio, gale force winds are blowing against the governor over his tepid efforts to tackle Ohio’s opioid crisis.
Kasich might find it informative to compare and contrast his struggling Ohio, now on the verge of another recession as tax revenues fail each month to keep pace with his own administration’s budget estimates, with his rosy but fake news narrative of a state doing well after years of cutting income taxes by billions and withholding billions more in local funds meant for local governments and schools who are now hobbled in performance and employment all so Gov. Kasich can boast of a well-funded “rainy day” emergency fund.
The Buckeye State’s metropolitan areas have been sliding for decades as state population growth stagnates when compared to national population growth. Communities outside central Ohio and its anchor city Columbus, a state capital boasting government and a major university, are “expected to fall further behind central Ohio in job and population growth in the coming years,” according to a new U.S. Conference of Mayors report performed by IHS Economics.
Columbus is now the largest city in the state by population and Franklin County has passed Cuyahoga County along Lake Erie as the most populous county. Findings from the report don’t forecast great times coming for most Ohio cities, which like others across the heartland still have not recovered the jobs lost during the Great Recession. As Cleveland-based data cruncher George Zeller has reported many times, Ohio has a long road to travel before all the jobs lost in the recession of 2000 and the Great Recession [2007-2009] are recovered.
Those who follow job creation policies and numbers, as Mr. Zeller does, are not surprised to learn that problems impacting Ohio cities stem from the decline of manufacturing, along with an aging population and infrastructure. The report done by IHS Economics tells a story of economic woe Gov. Kasich won’t mention when he’s pitching for new business.
* Only Akron, Canton, Cincinnati, Columbus and Toledo have recovered all the jobs lost during the Great Recession. Cleveland’s sales tax collection is stagnant and recouping the jobs it’s lost of time will take many years if not decades. Dayton, Lima, Mansfield, Springfield and Youngstown are not expected to return to former times for another half-decade or more.
* There are fewer jobs today in Dayton, Mansfield, Springfield and the Steubenville-Weirton than there were 27 years ago. Since 1990, all of Ohio’s metro areas have lost manufacturing jobs. Estimates are than Dayton, Springfield, Mansfield and Youngstown have lost about half their manufacturing jobs.
* Job growth outside of Columbus and Cincinnati is expected to be nil for the next four years or so. Columbus and Cincinnati, the report says, are the only metropolitan areas with populations expected to grow for the next 30 years.
By the end of 2020, the report says, “one in four metros will have employment levels below 2008 peaks and 23 cities have fewer jobs today than in 1990.” Cleveland and Youngstown are regularly listed among America’s top biggest poor cities. The jobs Gov. Kasich’s administration can claim credit for don’t pay well, as Policy Matters Ohio has reported.
Gov. Kasich has underperformed the national job creation average for 53 consecutive months, as Plunderbund has reported each month based on analysis by George Zeller in Cleveland.