Following her economic address in Toledo earlier in the day Monday, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton gave a stunning address in Akron at an Ohio Democratic Party voter registration event.
The perennial battleground state of Ohio, which has made or broken many a candidate’s run for the White House, shows mixed results in new polling today from Quinnipiac and Ipsos. Polling results in other battleground states shows great news for Clinton.
Polls Conflict On Ohio Race
According to today’s Quinnipiac numbers, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump leads Clinton in Ohio. At the same time, more polling from Ipsos shows the Q-Poll advantage given to Trump in Ohio could be wrong, by a wide margin. The Ipsos poll finds Hillary Clinton up by one over Trump [44-43] with 13 percent undecided or don’t know. The Q-Poll shows that Trump has expanded his lead over Clinton from two points to five [47-42], which could be good news for the Donald who lost the normally critical must-win state in the GOP primary to home state Gov. John Kasich, even though the term-limited, lame duck governor couldn’t break 50 percent despite his alleged popularity and complete control of Republican state party machinery.
Clinton Rallies Get Out The Vote In Buckeye State
After Mrs. Clinton leaves Ohio today, her husband and former two-term president Bill Clinton will spread three events—one in Athens, a blueberry floating in a tomato soup red region, a second one in conservative east-Ohio Steubenville and a third one in Canton—out over Tuesday and Wednesday.
While Team Trump has good reason to smile about today’s Q-polling results in Ohio, that happiness maybe short-lived as Q-polling also shows Hillary lengthening her lead in three other critical states Trump can’t afford to lose: Florida [Clinton 46 – Trump 41, Johnson 5], North Carolina [Clinton 46 – Trump 43, Johnson 7] and Pennsylvania [Clinton 45 – Trump 41, Johnson 5]. The Ipsos poll finds similar results for these states.
The results should be even more troubling for Trump Train riders because it includes third-party Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, who has attracted a not insignificant number of young voters who were followers of the gospel of inequality as preached by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, a self-described socialist candidate whose challenge to Hillary Clinton over the long, grueling primary season produced a movement of disaffected young voters, many of whom have found it hard to embrace Mrs. Clinton with the same fervor they applauded Sanders.
“The good news for Secretary Clinton is that she has opened a five-point lead in Florida, in what had been a dead heat in Quinnipiac University’s September 8 poll. But Donald Trump holds his lead in Ohio and stays close in North Carolina while she retains her small margin in Pennsylvania,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
In a head-to-head race without Gary Johnson factored in, Q-polling is still good news for Team Clinton: Florida: Clinton over Trump 49 – 44 percent; North Carolina: Clinton at 49 percent to Trump’s 46 percent; Ohio: Trump at 49 percent to Clinton’s 46 percent; Pennsylvania: Clinton leads Trump 48 – 43 percent.
“Ohio likely voters say 50 – 24 percent, including 21 percent among Republicans, that Clinton won the presidential debate. Clinton bested Trump, Democrats say 86 – 4 percent and independent voters say 42 – 27 percent. Republicans say 45 – 21 percent that Trump won.
“But Trump’s 58 – 31 percent general election lead among men outweighs Clinton’s 51 – 39 percent lead among women. Another factor is Trump’s 52 – 33 percent lead among independent voters, who give 8 percent to Johnson. Republicans also back Trump 89 – 4 percent, while Democrats back Clinton 88 – 7 percent.”
Brown added, “In some states, figuring why one candidate is doing better than the other takes some head scratching, but not in Ohio. Trump’s 19-point lead among independent voters tells us almost all we need to know. Secretary Clinton must close that gap to come back in the Buckeye State.”
Clinton Touts Endorsement By King James
At today’s voter registration rally held at the Goodyear Hall and Theater in Akron, about 2,600 showed up to revel in Hillary Clinton taking Trump Tower down, brick by brick. From his nearly billion dollar loss in a single year  to buying steel and aluminum from Chinese suppliers instead of from Ohio or Pennsylvania manufacturers, to counseling audience members to not let friends vote Trump, Mrs. Clinton surfed off her big win over the Donald in last Monday’s first presidential debate.
Her opening remarks lauded praise on Akron’s own LeBron James for his commitment to community, especially through his foundation. She said that while she might become president, James will be the King.
Hillary Clinton said she’ll be back in Ohio in the next 36 days, as polling on who’s up and who’s down varies according to polling sources.
Post Debate, Polls Breaking For Hillary
What has become clear, according to election calculus guru Nate Silver whose reputation includes nailing results in 2008 and 2012, not only is Hillary Clinton is leading in the race for president, she’s made meaningful gains since last week’s presidential debate. Clinton is currently a 72 percent favorite in Silver’s polls-only forecast, up from 55 percent just before the debate.
Silver offered a full paragraph of good news for Mrs. Clinton. “But Clinton’s advantage in the post-debate data is just as clear. Out of 20 post-debate polls in swing states, she’s led in 18, trailed in only one (today’s Quinnipiac poll of Ohio) and was tied in one other. Overall, the post-debate polls look a lot like the results that President Obama had against Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, although with Ohio and North Carolina flipping sides. (Iowa is a good candidate for Trump also, but it hasn’t been polled since the debate.) That isn’t a coincidence, since Obama beat Romney by 3.9 percentage points in 2012 — right about where our model has the Clinton-Trump gap now.”
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