In the latest Quinnipiac University National Poll released Friday, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton enjoys a 10-point lead over her Republican opponent, Donald John Trump [51-41]. Maybe as important, she busts through the “magical 50 percent mark” among American likely voters, the Q-Poll notes.
Just two days ago, another poll, this one done by Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project, showed that if the U.S. presidential election were held now, Mr.s Clinton would win the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia and have a 95 percent chance of beating Mr. Trump. The project combines opinion polls with an analysis of voting patterns under different election scenarios. Hillary Clinton is “currently beating Trump in the popular vote by six percentage points and ahead in 19 states, including most of the larger-population ones that heavily influence the outcome of the election,” Reuters reported.
With one poll after another showing Hillary Clinton breaking away from Donald Trump, Democrats are actually starting to dream that something considered impossible might be possible. “It’s looking like we can turn Donald Trump into the big old anchor that’ll drag the GOP down—allowing us to take back the Senate, pick up a slew of House seats, and usher in a whole raft of down-ballot progressive candidates in the process!” Robert Reich, a former Secretary of Labor under President Bill Clinton, said Friday.
Reich pointed to current day numbers that show Donald Trump is losing by about 6-7 points in most national polls, which he said is enough to put Republican control of the Senate at risk. Democrats, according to The New York times, have a 60 percent chance of taking the Senate. As exciting as that is, it’s more exciting that the House of Representatives is in play, due to a runaway Trump train, and could with a big enough turnout for Mrs. Clinton toss out Republicans from control they’ve enjoyed in the people’s chamber since 2010.
As things stand now, with just 73 days left until November 8, Election Day, Hillary Clinton would win at least 268 votes in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately chooses the next president, Reuters notes. On average, Mrs. Clinton would win by 108 electoral college votes. For Mr. Trump, he would win at least 21 states, many of them with smaller populations, giving him a minimum of 179 electoral votes.
When Q-Poll added third party candidates, Hillary Clinton gets 45 percent with Trump at 38 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 10 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent.
Women, who outnumber and out vote men, and non-white voters push for Mrs. Clinton in a head-to-head matchup with Mr. Trump. Women back her 60 – 36 percent while men back Trump 48 – 42 percent. White voters back Trump 52 – 41 percent. Non-white voters back Clinton 77 – 15 percent. In the battle of which candidates voters like or hate most, Q-Poll offered this snapshot: A total of 44 percent of American likely voters like Clinton “a lot” or “a little,” while 47 percent dislike her “a little” or “a lot,” and 8 percent hate her. A total of 35 percent of voters like Trump “a lot” or “a little,” while 53 percent dislike him “a little” or a lot,” and 10 percent hate him.
Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said of the findings, “We are starting to hear the faint rumblings of a Hillary Clinton landslide as her 10-point lead is further proof that Donald Trump is in a downward spiral as the clock ticks.” He added, “Trump’s missteps, stumbles and gaffes seem to outweigh Clinton’s shaky trust status and perceived shady dealings.”
As Malloy put it, in the category of negative scores on honesty, Trump outscores Clinton as American likely voters say 53 – 42 percent that Trump is not honest compared to 66 – 29 percent margin who say Clinton is not honest.
The honesty meme is just carrying water Republicans have concentrated on for years now. In the important category of which candidate is qualified to be president, the difference is staggering. By 66 – 33 percent, Hillary Clinton is deemed ore qualified to be president than Trump, who scored 58 – 40 percent. Meanwhile, Mrs. Clinton leads on other measures, as likely voters weigh-in on other issues:
58 – 40 that she has good leadership skills, compared to negative 46 – 52 for Trump;
71 – 29 percent that Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, compared to a negative 32 – 65 percent for Trump;
87 – 12 percent that she is intelligent, compared to 67 – 30 percent for him;
51 – 47 percent that she cares about average Americans, compared to a negative 41 – 57 percent for Trump.
Q-Polling showed what a growing issue it will be for Trump if he doesn’t release his tax returns, as Hillary Clinton has done going back decades. Trump should release his tax returns publicly, voters say 74 – 21 percent, including 62 – 31 percent among Republicans.
As important to the survey results are the numbered surveyed, which for this Q-Poll totals a robust 1,498 likely voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
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