An email sent to Romney supporters in Ohio yesterday claims “Mitt currently leads Barack Obama 52% to 45% among voters who have already cast their ballots”.
Like much of the information coming from the Romney camp these days, we can find no way of interpreting these numbers that even comes close to making them appear true in battleground Ohio.
While Republicans might be doing slightly better nationally in early voting (a readers points to a recent Gallup poll) – this is completely irrelevant to Ohio voters – the ones who appear to be matter most in this election.
Speaking on background, an Obama campaign staffer told us that voters in Democratic counties are voting at higher rates and outnumber voters in Republican counties and Democrats are doing a better job getting non-midterm, low propensity voters to the polls.
Romney’s numbers appear to be sourced from the same magical internal polling that Governor Kasich referenced earlier this week when claimed Romney would absolutely win in Ohio.