From the daily archives: Monday, September 10, 2012

Star Wars has a reference for everything:

We mention this because some of the most reliable polling firms have released polls in the last few days since the Democratic Convention, and they’ve contained excellent news for the President.

CNN/Opinion Research         Obama +6

Gallup Tracking                      Obama +5

Even the Republican-leaning Rasmussen Reports (which we don’t like because they use automated polling, not the more reliable live interviews) shows Obama +5.

To get a real sense of the possible shift in the race, check out the Gallup poll:


And here is how Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight […]

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We’ll be doing some more detailed polling analysis this evening, but I thought it was worth pointing out one interesting question, and result, from yesterday’s PPP poll in Ohio.

Public Policy Polling asked respondents: “Who is more responsible for killing of Osama bin Laden?”  The options were Mitt Romney, Barack Obama or “unsure”.

15% of Republicans answered Mitt Romney.

47% said they were unsure.  And only 38% admitted it was Obama.

Seriously.  62% of Ohio’s Republicans refuse to admit the President was more responsible for a military action that occurred on his watch than his non-President, former Governor opponent.

Should we be […]

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Yesterday Mitt Romney said that, if elected, he would retain elements of the Affordable Care Act.  The New York Times noted that Romney was “adopting a new tone” and that the statement was a “marked departure” from Mr. Romney’s prior tone and positions.

Romney said in particular that he wants to make sure people with pre-existing conditions can still have guaranteed coverage. Let’s focus on that little statement for a moment.

The Affordable Care Act says that insurance companies cannot turn down someone based on a pre-existing condition.  Under current law, insurance companies can deny coverage to persons with […]

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