The U.S. Census announced today that as a result of Ohio being outpaced in population growth by other States, Ohio will lose two seats in Congress in the next apportionment.

There’s no doubt that the Republicans will target at least one Cleveland area seat for elimination since Cleveland has the greatest population loss.  No idea what kind of map it brings.  Regardless, it means all Members of Congress are going to have to represent a significantly larger area which is not inherently familiar with them.   Incumbents tend to be most vulnerable when they’re a) fairly new to Congress; b) fairly new to their constituents.

This and a potential improving political environment could make the high number of Ohio Republican Congressional freshmen more vulnerable than first believed.

 

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