If having the national congressional campaign pull out of your race is a sign of that weakness, then doesn’t the fact that NRCC pulled out first mean something?
Apparently not, if you’re the national political press. This morning, the Twitterverse was, well, all a twitter over Stu Rothenberg’s site reporting that the DCCC had cancelled its ad buys after this week in this race as a sign of the Democrats writing off the race.
However, as I reported earlier, the Driehaus campaign stated that the DCCC simply was responding to the NRCC pulling out of the race first.
The Cincinnati Enquirer has reported that the NRCC’s spokesman has denied cancelling any ad buy it had made in this race. However, a local Democratic source with direct knowledge concerning this issue and the race has confirmed that local media outlets have reported that the NRCC had, in fact, cancelled a large portion of its ad buy in the race before today’s action by the DCCC.
It would seem to be that the NRCC’s own cancellation of its ad buy would justify the DCCC’s decision to back out of a race for reasons other than they view the race as unwinnable. At this point in the cycle, the parties engage in a strategy of following the other, especially in races such as this one when the candidates themselves have sufficient funds to continue to run an aggressive and well-funded campaign.
I think too much tea-leaf reading goes into these stories. However, I think there’s a material difference between the DCCC deciding to make a decision on their own to pull out of the race as opposed as simply following the NRCC’s lead to order to have resources the two national congressional campaigns are still engaged.
I’ll leave it to others to speculate why the NRCC would pull out of this race after news of early votes going 3:1 in favor of Democrats, African-American voters lined up to cast the first votes, and a former Republican incumbent who until a few weeks ago had no issues listed on his campaign website.
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