I hate polls. I hated paying for them as a consultant, hated having to pay attention to them for candidates, hated the sight of them, the thought of them. I hate talking about them. Hate writing about them. Hate reading about them. Hate listening to people talk about them. Hate cross tabs, trendlines, all of it. Which is why all this talk of somehow measuring a voter’s relative “enthusiasm” for voting, and conjuring some alchemy to get from that to an election prediction, is really starting to get to me.
I mean, really. A vote is a vote.
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What’s a campaign staff look like after they lose a presumed 17 point lead and end up in a dead heat the weekend before the election? Maybe we should ask Kasich campaign director Beth Hansen.
Word on the street is that the boys club that makes up the John Kasich inner circle is now very much on the hunt for a scapegoat, and Hansen is in the running. Hansen is the only woman at the top of the campaign staff. Far worse for Hansen, though, is her George Voinovich pedigree. Hansen has been Voinovich’s top staffer in Ohio for a […]Full Story... →
With the exception of an underperforming Columbiana County, the Youngstown Vindicator, notes that Democrats are outperforming in the Mahoning River Valley their performance in 2006 in early voting.
Democrats weren’t just ready to vote before the election. We’ll vote on Tuesday, too.
Two more days, and we’ll stun them again.Full Story... →
Watching Tom Ganley’s first lesson in politics has been a joy. Not so much for him, of course. After this election, we may next hear about Ganley when his auto business files for bankruptcy.
Businessmen in today’s America have every luxury conservative Republicanism can afford them, including the ability to operate as animals in a state of nature. That is, after all, what Republican ideology is all about – social Darwinism to the point of making people like Tom Ganley obscenely rich, human carnage in that wake be damned. Inevitably, they want more power, because greed unchecked just […]Full Story... →
Finally, truth in advertising.Full Story... →
Welcome back to Ohio, Jon Keeling. John Kasich is going to lose.
Yet again, we see two more pollsters who had shown Kasich’s best results suddenly acknowledging the race is tighter than a deer tick on a bloodhound.
The polls show virtually the same result.
The poll by the Democratic polling outfit, Public Policy Polling, shows the race within a hair: Kasich 49%, Strickland 48%. John Kasich has now found himself stuck under 50% while Strickland has suddenly closed the gap as Democrats woke up and suddenly realized: hey, there’s more of us than there are of […]Full Story... →
2006 was a watershed year for Democrats in Ohio. It was only four years ago, but what a difference four years makes. I had just graduated law school. My old boss, Congressman Ted Strickland, was running for Governor against Ken Blackwell. Democrats were riding a wave into power across the nation.
So, I contacted the Butler County Democratic Party to do GOTV phone calls before the election. It was the most depressing thing of the entire election.
I had to use my own cell […]Full Story... →
…former Kasich staffer, Carpetblogging homeland security consultant, and lifelong suckling of the government teat, Jon Keeling, who was seen among the Republican thug contingent at the Teamsters hall in Columbus, which apparently thought it was funny to make a bunch of noise about sex and drugs while Bill Clinton was speaking. Mature! BSB blogger Nick D is in the foreground on the case, observing Keeling’s maturity.Full Story... →
I just got back from going door-to-door GOTV in Butler County, Middletown, specifically.
I’ve done some kind of lit drop, GOTV work, in just about very campaign cycle since 1992. What Organizing for America/ODP doing this year is absolutely sick. I’ve never seen a GOTV operation as prepared, organized, and focused as this one. It was amazingly easy and simple.
Like the Early Vote, the GOTV canvass I did focused on infrequent Democratic voters, so I wound up hitting 83 voters in roughly two hours of going door to door. Not bad for a Saturday morning lit drop.
In other […]Full Story... →