For over a year, we’ve been told that there’s this massive pro-GOP tide ready to come crashing down on Democrats come November.  Where is it?  Seriously.

We’re four months out of the election.  At what point does this “GOP tsunami” start showing the top of the GOP’s ticket leading in Ohio?  Because in our last tide election, 2006, the party that allegedly had the wind to its back was leading in the Governor’s race and Senate race by double digits by now.

The media is so bought into this narrative they’ve utterly failed to note the substantial evidence that contradicts it.  Not one single newspaper reported that the Quinnipiac poll shows Ohio’s have an unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party while attitudes towards the Democratic Party is split, but with a substantially higher favorability rating than the GOP.  There is a dearth of polling data showing that the political environment has substantially improved from Democrats that is not being reported by Old Media.  The fact is that all the polling data shows that in the Governor’s race, Strickland, not Kasich, has momentum.

For example, while the Dispatch stated that “Ohioans also say, by 45 percent to 35 percent, they would like an Arizona-style immigration law in the Buckeye State,” they dismissed the same poll’s numbers showing more Ohioans want the United States to get out of Afghanistan by noting it was only a plurality… despite the fact that the numbers in favor were virtually the same as the one for the Arizona law. 

Now, I think the Dispatch was right to note that its only a plurality, but my point is their absence of noting that in the Arizona instance was irresponsible, especially when it instead was presented as the view of Ohioans in general.  It’s indicative of a media bias that presents the conservative point of view as being more widely held in Ohio than it actually is and downplaying what would otherwise being viewed as leftist views.

And it’s not just that.  As Republicans attack Governor Strickland’s record that Ohio ranks only 33rd in the nation in job creation, nobody reporting these comments notes that during the GOP-controlled decade preceding Strickland, Ohio ranked 49th in job creation!

When Republicans like the Carpetblogger attack Strickland because Ohio ranks 36th in the nation in increasing per capita income, when was the last time someone pointed out that Ohio ranked 48th in the nation in per-capita income during the prior decade of GOP-only rule?

Not bad for a guy dealing with the Great Lehman Brothers recession at the time.

Speaking of that, let’s not forget that in the six years of all-GOP rule in Ohio before Governor Strickland took office, Ohio lost over 190,000 jobs in what was considered nationally good economic times.

Did you know that Ohio’s job market this year has already beat expectations?  No, of course, you didn’t.

Back in January, the Columbus Dispatch reported:

Moody’s Economy.com forecasts that job losses will continue in Ohio for the first six to nine months of the year before small increases, and that there will be a net job loss for the year. The forecast also shows the state’s unemployment rate, now at 10.9 percent, peaking at 11.9 percent this year.

The Ohio Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors predicted last month that the state’s unemployment rate would increase and job losses would continue during the 2010 fiscal year that ends on June 30.

Has the Dispatch or any other media outlet pointed out that instead, Ohio saw it end the 2010 fiscal year with the last three straight months of job growth instead?  Hear much about how the unemployment that the so-called economic experts predicted would continue to go up, went down, instead in Ohio?  Of course, not.  It doesn’t fit the political narrative.

Did you hear about the Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors’ revised forecast for the year?

It also said the state’s unemployment rate will reach 10.7 percent this year, from 10.4 percent in 2009, but will drop to 10.2 percent next year and 9.7 percent in 2012.

That’s a 1.2% improvement in Ohio’s forecast in unemployment six months into the year.  In January, the Ohio unemployment rate was 10.9%.  It’s already was at 10.7% in May, so it appears that Ohio is already set to beat even recently set expectations.  Given that the economy in Ohio is the number one story in the State, you’d think the media would cover it better.

A media narrative used to be how the media took a wide range of events and explained how they all fit together.  Now, it’s a political result-oriented story that the media uses to justify those facts they want to report while ignoring others.

Thereby letting the Ohio Republican Party recklessly talk down an economy in recovery for no other reason than naked political gain (using out dated and out of context statistics) while the media dutifully ignores it and the facts on the ground that indicate that much of what they’ve been reporting in Ohio, both economically and politically, is flat out wrong.

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