Answer is likely yes, it did.

The Columbus Dispatch has the story on the latest poll by Quinnipiac University on the Governor’s race, and it’s almost entirely great news.

Since November (the last Quinny poll), the race went from a dead heat to a five-point lead for Governor Strickland (44% to 39%).  Despite the addition of Mary Taylor to the ticket, the Strickland-Brown ticket has a major advantage with female voters (48% to 33%). 

Strickland now splits Independent voters, a key demographic.

Strickland’s improvement is across the board with both his favorability (+7 point jump) and approval ratings (+3 point jump) receiving a sizeable boost. Meanwhile, Kasich continues to remain largely unknown (62% of voters still don’t know enough about John Kasich to form an opinion about him), and even worse for him, he is becoming increasing unpopular (he’s tied his worse showing on unfavorable opinions).

Strickland not only has his party’s voters more strongly behind him, but in the head to head, he actually takes more Republicans voters from Kasich than Kasich takes of Democratic voters.

The only bright spot for Kasich in this poll?  Kasich leads Strickland by six-points on which candidate voters think would do better rebuilding Ohio’s economy and handling the State budget.  But then again, these are the same voters who 62% don’t know enough about John Kasich to form an opinion about him.  As Kasich is defined by his reckless tax plan, even that advantage will continue to crumble.

Even if you look at the Rasmussen polls (which show Kasich ahead), you’d note that over the last three months the Republican advantage in both that race and the Senate race has been slowly shrinking.

I’ll continue to watch the polls, but we’ve may have seen a political environment that may have peaked too soon for the Republicans.

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  • mvirenicus

    strickland will win. the senate seat has a 50% chance of flipping dem. nothing will change in the lives of ordinary americans after 2010.

  • adrienne

    Why not remind them that Kasich is a Wall street banker who helped wreck his company (LEH), AND the economy with the creation of toxic no radioactive “assets” that have questionable value and can't be sold because there is no real “open” market. Do we want that kind of experience running the state budget?

  • anastasjoy

    Well, if Kasich were to win and the Republicans won the House back, ordinary Ohioans would be seeing some DRASTIC changes. But I think as the campaign goes on, people will see this. It's just my gut feeling but I think all the grumbly Democrats are going to come home. When Democrats tell me they are disappointed with Strickland or even that he has been a “failure” as governor (I heard this again last night), their usual reason is that he didn't fix everything (the guy last night mentioned his failure to completely transform education like he promised) or their pet program was cut. (Libraries, libraries, libraries!) But when these people hear what Kasich is basing HIS campaign on, they will go into shock, and they will be voting for Strickland. I think a lot of sane business conservatives will too, because they understand you cannot run a state with no revenue, and a state that doesn't provide basic infrastructure and human services needs isn't a state where business will flourish.

    Kasich is going to have to explain how he will run a state with no revenue. I don't see how he can do it.

  • mvirenicus

    here's how it works: when in power the republicans move the goalposts. when the democrats take over they enthusiastically defend the new positioning of the goalposts.

    there is only one reason i might not vote issues-only in the upcoming primary, and that reason is based more on my dislike of the fisher campaign than a belief that brunner will make a positive difference if elected.

    there is no hope for real, substantive change in this country until the people wake up and realize that the government is bought and paid for by corporate interests.

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