I think Jennifer Brunner would make a great Senator. And if she has a real interest in being in the US Senate, then 2010 is probably the only chance she is going to get for a very, very long time.

On the flip side, everyone understands that it’s vital for the Dems to have a majority on the Apportionment Board – so maintaining control of the Secretary of State’s office must be a priority going into 2010. Obviously our best chance to do that is with Brunner running for reelection and not running for Senate.

That said, I think Modern over at BSB has come up with pretty good plan that would allow Brunner to run for Senate while still giving us a solid advantage in the 2010 SOS race.

In short, Brunner needs to declare her intention to run for the Senate ASAP and then resign before the end of the year so that Governor Strickland can appoint a well-liked, well-known replacement who will be able to run as an incumbent. He suggests Eric Fingerhut or Lee Fisher.

It’s actually a pretty solid plan. And might work. Still, I can’t help playing devil’s advocate, so here is my initial list of potential problems.

My biggest concern is that the whole thing comes across as overly political and turns off voters.

Brunner comes across as a selfish politician more concerned with moving up the ladder than serving the people of Ohio.

Strickland comes across as overly partisan and more concerned with helping his political party gain more control than with trying to help solve the big problems facing the state.

For example, if he picks Fingerhut to replace Brunner then people will question his dedication to solving Ohio’s education problem.

And if he picks Fisher then they will ask the same question about the economy since Fisher is heading up the department of development.

Never underestimate the GOP spin machine.

Speaking of which, the current GOP complaints about election problems under Brunner aren’t very believable, but if she resigns they might be able to make a more believable case. (e.g. Scary Voice in Anti-Brunner Ad: If she doesn’t have anything to hide then when did she resign?)

I tend to agree with Modern that Brunner is a better candidate for the Senate than Fisher. (I actually think Fingerhut might be the best Senator – just not sure he’d be able to win the election.)

But there are a lot of risks here. A lot of unknowns. And she really should take all of this into consideration when making her decision.

Of course, if Ray Miller is the other choice for Senate candidates, then I don’t think she has any choice but to run.

 
  • i see your points, but i don’t think they amount to her losing against portman. particularly the part about “GOP despises her”….um….so what?

  • i also don’t think the SOS seat, if filled well, will be lost either.

  • Yes – but that’s my point.

    There are a lot of ifs here.

    If they can find someone good to accept the appointment and then run a great campaign in 2010 for SOS.

    If the Republicans don’t put up a better candidate.

    If Brunner doesn’t face a bunch of primary challengers that drain all of her funding and kill her spirit.

    lots of ifs.

  • Modern Esquire

    Yeah, Ted really caught a lot of heat for the plan to have Cordray run for AG and then wait to see if he won before he resigned so Strickland could appoint his replacement. It’s all I hear the guys at the bar ranting about.

    Do you think Bob Bennett’s Ohio GOP would have blinked twice in considering such a plan. Hell, he master ed the art of statewide musical chairs to extend their tenure over a decade.

  • If she really wants to run this is the time. Might not ever get a better chance.

    I could be wrong, but as a GOPer, I dont fear her that much in the race. Like I said, could be wrong, but id rather face her than some others.

    Of course, I want Fisher to be the Dems nominee.

  • Skipper

    Brunner will make a GREAT Senator??? What a GAS! If that CRIMINAL runs she’s SIMPLEMINDED to think anyone will vote for her! She should save her money and find a REAL job! Another useless career politician. She had wonderful training as an Obama-Shill working under that sickening B.H.O. cheerleader Sherrod Brown! What PUKE!!!

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