Interesting take. I’d often wondered about this. I know if I were 20 years younger and didn’t have kids I wouldn’t have a “home” phone. When my girls are old enough we may even become a family of cell phone only users and ditch the home phone all together. This seems like a natural shift, this cell phone only trend. At some point we’ll all just contact people individually instead of call their homes.
Salon points out how this dynamic may be causing Obama’s support to be under-reported by as much as 2-3%:
the sample I’ve described is either not being included at all in many national polls or is being undercounted. Why? Because I’m talking about the growing number of American cellphone users who have no other type of phone or who choose to go wireless for the vast majority of their interactive needs. And this election cycle — for the first, and perhaps only, time — this group has the chance to render presidential polls “wrong from the start”: potentially disguising at least 2 to 3 percentage points of Obama support and maybe more.
This is not only an historic election because of Obama. It is historic because of the shifting nature of electoral politics and the demographic of the average American Voter. Obama clearly gets this mobile move in demographic. McCain? Not so much.