There are a lot of people pushing to get Al Gore into the 2008 race for president.? The slogan over at draftgore.com is: He won it once.? He can win it again.?

But, as we all know, Al Gore didn’t win.? Not once.? Not ever.? He lost.? And, if you believe the numbers, then he isn’t likely to win the next time around either.

Democratic VPs Don’t Win Elections

Since 1900, a Democrat running as VP has not won a single election.? Zero.? Zip.?? Actually, VPs in general don’t do too well.

Only two out of six elections (1/3rd) were actually won by candidates running as Vice President**.? The election match-ups are shown below.?? It is important to note that both of the wins were by Republicans (Bush 1 and Nixon) and three of the losses were by Democrats (Humphrey, Mondale and Gore).??? ?The other loss was also by Nixon- who came back 8 years later to win.

Those pushing Gore into another presidential run should really take these numbers to heart.

1960:?? Kennedy (D-Senator) ? beat Nixon (R-VP)

1968: ? Nixon (R-VP) ???????????? beat Humphrey (D-VP)

1984:?? Reagan (R-Governor)?? beat Mondale(D-VP)

1988??? Bush 1 (R-VP)???????????? beat Dukakis (R-Governor)

2000??? Bush 2 (R-Governor)??? beat Gore (D-VP)

** Truman and Johnson, both democrats and former VPs, never ran as VPs since they both became president via succession.? The same thing is true of Republicans Roosevelt (Teddy) and Ford.

Republican VPs Win ? But Don’t Make Good Presidents

The two VP winners (Bush 1 and Nixon) are rated well below average by presidential scholars, according to Wikipedia’s historical rankings.?? Out of 42, Bush 1 is rated 25th and Nixon 32nd.

 

Fortunately, neither was around too long.? Bush was voted out of office after his first term and Nixon, as we all remember, was reelected but then ended up resigning after the Watergate scandal.

Most VPs Become President through Succession

As I mentioned earlier, four former vice presidents have become president through succession.? That’s twice as many as have actually been elected president.

 

These were:

  1. Theodore Roosevelt after McKinley was assassinated
  2. Harry S. Truman after FDR Died
  3. Lyndon B. Johnson after Kennedy’s was assassinated
  4. Gerald Ford after Nixon Resigned

Overall, these four actually were judged to be pretty good presidents- well, three of them at least.? Again, looking at Wikipedia’s historical rankings:? Roosevelt: 5th, Truman 7th, Johnson 14th and Ford 27th (tied with Carter).

Gore Unlikely to Become Next President- Unless?

Most people would have to agree with me: since Gore is not going to become president through succession and since no other democratic vice president has, in the past 100 years, won a presidential election, it seems very unlikely that Al Gore will, if nominated, win the ’08 presidential election.

Except, of course, for the Astrologers out there.

If you are believer in the influence of celestial bodies on human destiny- especially in Electional Astrology– then Al Gore might very well be your candidate of choice.?

That’s because, as you may have already noticed, VP candidates tend to win in years ending in 8 (68, 88).

You may even have noticed that, like Al Gore, Richard Nixon also lost a presidential election in a year ending in 0 (1960).?? Eight years later (1968), Nixon came back to WIN the presidential election!

I would LOVE to put an ELECTIONAL ASTROLOGERS FOR GORE sticker on the back of my car- if anyone has one.Otherwise- let’s let Mr. Gore focus on saving the earth from climate change- and get a real candidate for president.

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  • Amber

    really?? i love gore…and of all the candidates in the mix, he’s the one i’d trust most. who do you like?

    also, is there any historical data on former VPs (who have been out of the white house for a while) running and winning? i’d suggest that VPs tend to lose because the public is usually ready for some sort of change after 8 years of the party/people in power…

  • Amber

    also curious why you wrote, “most people would have to agree with me…”

    that’s a pretty strong statement mr. m—s! 🙂

  • Only Nixon had a break between his VP and Presidential terms. And I’m sure no one wants to use THAT example as proof of their success as a president. 🙂

    Anyway- all the rest either won election while serving as VP- or became president by succession when the president died or resigned.

    Here is the list (double-checked against wikipedia) of VPs who became president:

    John Adams
    Thomas Jefferson
    Martin Van Buren
    John Tyler
    Millard Fillmore
    Andrew Johnson
    Chester A. Arthur
    Theodore Roosevelt
    Calvin Coolidge
    Harry Truman
    Richard Nixon
    Lyndon Johnson
    Gerald Ford
    George H.W. Bush

  • Amber

    but the nixon example shows that a former VP has been elected…so, gore was a congressman, senator and VP and has been out of office since 2000. the only thing, historically, that would be better is if he had served as a governor (but, bush was a governor – and no one wants to use THAT example as proof of their success as a president!).

    i think you are writing gore off too quickly!

  • I liked Gore when he was VP. And I like him now. But I hated him when he ran for president the last time.

    He always had a fake smile and had his head tilted in such a way that it made him look like Max Headroom.

  • Mark

    I’d like your opinion on the Senator to President thing: since no Senator has been elected President since Kennedy, would Dems be wise to nominate a governor? I sorta think so, but am seeking input. Thanks.

  • Amber

    historically, that’s why i also like richardson…he has great international experience and is a western-state governor. he’s my second choice at the moment. that’s also why people were so interested in warner and bayh – experience as governors. are there any other governors with a shot?

  • Paul Minor

    Amber I am with you. Gore in 08 is the man, and knocks out all Dems especially the two Senators (who are the leaders in the race) who voted for neo-conquest debacle of Iraq. The VP anti-argument is lame, I guess I am lame for even responding.

    But my motivation is to let you know Amber that Gore 08 is the winner, too much leverage over DemPrez wannabees, too much credibility, humility, respect, class, qualifications, and empathy for any R to compete and win. He now has a star quality that only winning and conceding for the good of the nation brings, not to mention an Oscar Nomination for leading a global community towards solving our planet?s biggest crisis. People will be drawn to him who were not in 00, a lot more. And a lot more will be thinking twice before giving their vote for anybody that slightly resembles that which has tragically mislead us for 8 long years, and Gore is, by virtue of 2000 and ?92-1/19/2001, is the ultimate contrast.

    70% think the country is heading in the wrong direction; everyone knows exactly when this began.

    In 2000 the country was too fat and happy, and Al was not a frothing candidate with the political madness or advisors to know when to hit the accelerator or even that he had that option. Events and perspective and an 8 year record of world class accomplishment solves it. He’s our next President, and if this comes to pass, that will be a great thing for the future of this country and beyond.

  • Well- let’s at least hope he picks a better running mate this time.

  • Where were you guys in 2000 when Gore needed your support?

    Oh? wait? didn’t I see you at that Nader rally?

    😉

  • Oh- and I like Richardson too. But do you think he is pretty enough to win?

    I find that, when he laughs, he looks a lot like Horatio Sanz.

  • Amber

    i hope you’re not referring to me with your 2000 comment! i held my nose because of lieberman, but supported gore all the way…

    i just got my draft gore bumper sticker last night!

    and while richardson is cute, i guess he does look a little like sanz in that photo 😉

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