It’s certainly starting to look that way, as the GOP are already conceding a huge number of lost seats in the House, the Senate is in play, many gubernatorial seats look likely to flip parties, and here in Ohio we might see a sweep of all non-judicial statewide races. Even the state House may be in play, which in my mind was unthinkable just a few weeks ago.
National surveys showed Democrats running ahead of Republicans in hypothetical ballot tests on a scope not seen since 1990. In an Associated Press-AOL News poll in late October, 56 percent of likely voters sided with Democrats and 37 percent with Republicans. The 19 percentage-point gap was nearly double the 10-point spread in a survey a few weeks earlier.
At the same time, the poll suggested that not everyone?s mind was made up ? far from it. About 38 percent of likely voters said they either had not made a final decision or could change their intentions before casting their ballots.
Still, among Republicans and Democrats alike, there was open speculation about the size of the majority the Democrats would command.
“A miracle day for us would be 14 seats lost,” said Joe Gaylord, who was the chief strategist for Newt Gingrich in 1994 when Republicans swept to power. “A good day would be around minus 20, and a bad day would be over 30.”
We should have a much better idea by tomorrow night. As for the state races, I like this voter’s thinking:
“All the jobs are leaving the state, everything?s a total stinking mess,” he said. “I think the Democrats will probably do a better job. If not, we will vote them out again.”
The poll shows that 35 percent are voting a straight Democratic ticket, twice those casting a party-line GOP vote. Perhaps even more telling: Almost five times as many independents are voting for all Democrats as are backing all Republicans.
And then there is this:
That showing fuels the stunning lead for Strickland, and even Republicans acknowledge that a rout at the top of the ticket could lead not only to Democratic victories in the other statewide matchups but could spread to congressional, legislative and even county races.
Get out there tomorrow and vote. Then come back and hop on the Ohio blogs and participate!